Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.030246 0.032596 0.035056 0.037824 0.040858 0.044085 0.047783
2025-02-16 0.026327 0.029648 0.033308 0.037658 0.042703 0.048392 0.055324
2025-02-23 0.023603 0.027460 0.031881 0.037353 0.043985 0.051812 0.061825
2025-03-02 0.021719 0.025938 0.030931 0.037321 0.045353 0.055203 0.068340
2025-03-09 0.019986 0.024391 0.029740 0.036784 0.045913 0.057484 0.073481
2025-03-16 0.018467 0.022958 0.028538 0.036066 0.046090 0.059169 0.077846
2025-03-23 0.017325 0.021903 0.027709 0.035719 0.046654 0.061313 0.082891
2025-03-30 0.016335 0.020968 0.026953 0.035381 0.047154 0.063338 0.087847
2025-04-06 0.015327 0.019939 0.025998 0.034686 0.047074 0.064495 0.091572
2025-04-13 0.014807 0.019529 0.025838 0.035057 0.048487 0.067828 0.098724
2025-04-20 0.014205 0.018969 0.025430 0.035037 0.049307 0.070313 0.104734
2025-04-27 0.013803 0.018660 0.025348 0.035463 0.050789 0.073853 0.112642
2025-05-04 0.013178 0.018010 0.024756 0.035116 0.051093 0.075628 0.117883
2025-05-11 0.012656 0.017482 0.024310 0.034956 0.051666 0.077845 0.124021
2025-05-18 0.012139 0.016936 0.023808 0.034675 0.052017 0.079710 0.129685
2025-05-25 0.011730 0.016528 0.023486 0.034646 0.052754 0.082232 0.136676
2025-06-01 0.011228 0.015957 0.022892 0.034154 0.052701 0.083414 0.141336
2025-06-08 0.010717 0.015353 0.022218 0.033497 0.052328 0.084013 0.144948
2025-06-15 0.010323 0.014909 0.021771 0.033179 0.052497 0.085545 0.150413
2025-06-22 0.009956 0.014492 0.021344 0.032870 0.052656 0.087056 0.155942
2025-06-29 0.009535 0.013973 0.020739 0.032232 0.052206 0.087435 0.159259
2025-07-06 0.009358 0.013831 0.020720 0.032572 0.053481 0.091024 0.169306
2025-07-13 0.009113 0.013569 0.020499 0.032554 0.054110 0.093449 0.177168